Look, my computer died an unnatural and precipitous death over the past two weeks and I have lost all my records with regard to previous Mythical Picks. All I can say is that the entire season has been disastrously bad and the only way I could possibly “get even” wo0uld be to take a prop bet at about +5000 that a yeti will dash onto the field from the south end and block a punt during the second quarter of the game. That is not gonna happen and so, I am not gonna come close to breaking even for the season.
Anyone who takes any information here and uses it to influence the way he/she decides to wager on the Super Bowl game this Sunday is a demonstrable moron. Instead of being cute here, let me say this directly:
Do not take my picks seriously.
Bet on the game however you want – just do not get caught up in some random sting operation orchestrated by an overly zealous local prosecutor.
Someone did a study that concluded that Americans will wager $3.8B illegally this year on the Super Bowl game. If accurate, that means approximately $35 will be bet illegally on the game this year than is legally bet on the game in Nevada. Man, those laws to limit betting on sports events – to protect the integrity of the game don’t you know – are really working well…
Speaking of Las Vegas wagering, the Westgate has 350 prop bets on their board for action. Standard ones like the OVER/UNDER for the duration of the National Anthem are there (the target this year is 2 minutes and 1 second) but there are several that might actually be interesting:
Rushing yards for Tom Brady … The OVER/UNDER line is 1.5 yards and both props are at -110.
Will there be a safety in the game? Yes is at +500 – even though there has been a safety in the last three Super Bowl games.
Will the game go to OT? Yes is at +550 – even though there has never been an overtime in the Super Bowl.
Here is a really interesting one. Which will be greater, the number of made field goals in the Super Bowl or the number of wins by the UNLV football team in the 2015 season? Both sides of the wager are at -110. Do not lose that ticket between now and next December…
This is the 49th Super Bowl. There are only 3 people who have covered all 48 games in the past and are scheduled to be at the game with keyboard underhand at the game this Sunday. Here they are:
Jerry Green: He is 86 years old and is “semi-retired” from the Detroit News.
Jeffrey izenberg: He is 84 years old and is a “columnist-emeritus” for the Newark Star-Ledger.
Dave Klein: He is 74 years old and used to be with the Newark Star-Ledger before leaving to start and run an online site called e-Giants.
The NFL has managed to figure out that the last thing it needs is some kind of issue surrounding the internal pressure of the footballs in the game this Sunday. [Aside: I do admit that I would laugh my ass off if a player fell on a loose fumble and when the pile was unraveled the officials found a completely flattened ball with zero psi as the internal pressure. I would wonder who the director in the truck would dare point the camera towards in that moment.] The way the NFL seeks to mitigate the potential for problems here is that it has assigned the Chicago Bears’ equipment manager, Tony Medlin, as the custodian, major domo and head honcho of the balls to be used in the game. Why Messr. Medlin is more qualified for this position of responsibility than any of the other 30 equipment managers for teams not involved in the game is completely opaque. Nonetheless, it seems that Medlin has taken on the task as an assignment that verifies his commitment to “getting things right”.
Here in Curmudgeon Central, I seem to think that he has been selected to be the guy who eats the biggest turd-burger in history if anything goes even slightly wrong with the footballs in the game.
Memo to Tony Medlin: Go to midnight mass on Saturday night and to 6:00 AM mass on Sunday morning and light candles with the prayer that all goes well with the equipment on Sunday. If it does not, you are going to take more gas than a HUM-V.
By the way, Medlin is a former recipient of the Whitey Zimmerman Award given annually to the NFL Equipment Manager of the Year. I mention that because you can win a lot of bar bets just by asking folks to identify the basis for the Whitey Zimmerman Award…
New England – 1 vs. Seattle (48): I see a low scoring game here where neither side dominates the other. I like the Seahawks to repeat as champions and so I will take them plus the point here. I also like the game to stay UNDER. With regard to prop bets, I will take Brady’s rushing total to go OVER 1.5 yards.
Finally, Scott Ostler had this comment in the SF Chronicle regarding the way Bill Belichick will deal with Deflategate in the future:
“The rest of his life, Belichick will handle inflation jibes the same way he handles all such challenges. He’ll defuse the situation with a charming smile and infectious laughter.”
But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………