Sports Curmudgeon 8/31/00
 











  One of the features that I will try to incorporate for the football season is a series of betting plays on various college and NFL football contests. When this is eventually a website, there will be a separate page for all of that. But as long as this offering is promulgated by e-mail, I'll just incorporate it into these offerings. No one should use this stuff as the basis for an actual wager involving real US currency unless that person is a certifiable meathead; and of course, no one would even consider the possibility of making a wager in a venue where that behavior would be illegal.

A word about the betting strategy - if I can grace it with something that sounds so formal and so well thought out . I like to bet against bad teams. Can that surprise anyone who has read more than two of these things? I believe that bad teams find ways to lose games and find ways to make a bad loss into a humiliating rout. So very often, my selections here will not be based on any great faith in the side that I am taking; rather, it is a faith that the other side will find a way to screw up.

I'll keep track of bets for the season and use the standard Las Vegas odds of laying 11 to win 10 (or in Vegas Sports Book parlance “minus 110”). And I really don't like to do much wagering early in the season until some kind of form emerges to demonstrate who is playing well and who just plain stinks. So three small wagers are all I have for this first week.

    I like Minnesota and Chicago to go over 45.5 on Sunday and will wager a mythical $55 there. Neither defense is particularly strong and both offenses move the ball well.

    I like Atlanta and SF to stay under 46.5 on Sunday. I'll put a mythical $55 here too. The reasoning here is that I really don't like the SF offense even against an Atlanta defense that is no great shakes. Both teams will prefer to run the ball.

    I'll put a mythical $55 on Jax minus 10.5 over Cleveland. The Browns will stink this year and probably for another year or two at least.

There are six new coaches in the NFL this year; two are recycled. Dave Wannstedt and Bill Belichick have been very good as defensive coordinators and less than good as head coaches. I suspect that Wannstedt is the better head guy because he had teams in Chicago that were outmanned and they still did not quit on him. Bellichick had a stint in Cleveland where he should have been happy if the only thing that players wanted to do was hang him in effigy. Dave Campo will have Jerry Jones sticking his nose into things and Al Groh will have The Tuna casting a large shadow over whatever the Jets do or do not do. I think both are in untenable positions and have no long-term prospects in the current job. Mike Sherman inherits a Green Bay team in decline and an injured QB who will not rest and heal. Jim Haslett is in New Orleans. All you need to know about that is that Miami of Ohio has been called the “Cradle of Coaches”; New Orleans is definitely the “Funeral Pyre of Coaches”!!

The Tennessee Titans coaching staff must agree with me at least partially. They signed Michael Booker the day after the Chiefs cut him. The Cleveland coaching staff must have seen game films that were altered by the Ruling Council of the Planet Zeembo because they signed Doug Pederson who was cut by the Eagles and who was miserable in just about every facet of the game last year. Or maybe the Browns' staff has a thing about Eagle castoffs in the back-up QB role since it was the injury to Ty “Me Kangaroo Down” Detmer that opened up this job for Pederson. Now, if Doug gets hurt, I hear that King Hill has been working out…

Yesterday, I mentioned the Miami Hurricanes tough season opener with McNeese State but neglected to mention that Nebraska opens with a nailbiter against the San Jose State Spartans. I must have slept through that part of my World History class; I don't remember the people of Sparta sailing to the west coast of North America. The line is Nebraska minus 50; the outcome of the contest will not be in doubt after the coin toss. And for the record, there is no line on the Miami/McNeese State game.

Notre Dame opens against Texas A&M this weekend and then looks down the barrel of a schedule that reads Nebraska, Purdue, Michigan State… After a losing season last year, it is unlikely that the alums will look favorably on an 0-4 start. Bob Davie is definitely on the hotseat. Here is a prediction:

    If Davie is fired at Notre Dame, Tom Coughlin will be the leading candidate for the job.
Steve Young will be part of the NFL Countdown studio crew on ESPN. This is precisely the reason that Young needed to retire and not risk another concussion. ESPN is a more positive career move for him than waiting to see if he could get the title role in Rain Man II.

The NCAA gurus who regulate when a coach can talk to a potential recruit and who regulate if a “student athlete” can sell a CD of country and western songs seem not to worry any more about college “student athletes” associating with and playing against professionals. It seems that the Grand Rapids Hoops and the Yakima Sun Kings of the CBA will play a series of games against college teams as part of their pre-season.

And the saga of Melvin Whittaker continues. Melvin is a 6'10” center who was one of those “diaper dandies” about 4 or 5 years ago. He committed to go to Virginia but never quite made it to the basketball court because he wound up in criminal court and served some time for malicious wounding. It seems that he took exception to something about a U-Va football player and slashed him with a box cutter. The Cavaliers decided that they could do without him because they assessed - correctly - that he was not likely to go down in history in the same category as Thomas Jefferson. Melvin went to the “Crossbars Hilton” for a while; and while learning to make license plates there, he was offered a scholarship by Mount Saint Mary's. But after he got out he broke his ankle or leg or some part of his lower extremities and could not play. Then last spring he was “dismissed from the university for academic deficiencies”; we used to call that “flunking out”. Well, Melvin is back at Mount Saint Mary's after some rigorous summer school academic pursuits at Montclair State; and according to a press release from the SID, he will be eligible to play in December if he maintains a 2.0 average in the first semester. I would only add that they also have to keep him away from any box cutters and football players.

But don't get me wrong, I love sports...

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