Two weeks ago, the Mythical Picks for the Conference Championship games split evenly.
I liked the Pats – 7 over the Ravens. The Pats won by only 3. Yuck!
I liked the Giants +2.5 over the Niners. The Giants won outright. Yummy!
That 1-1 split for the week brings the cumulative record for the season to 148-130-13. Given that I will make two selections below for the Super Bowl this weekend, that means that I will actually have a mythically profitable season picking all the games. That has only happened once before that I can recall; I surely do not expect it to happen on a regular basis.
Of course, no one with the IQ of a turnip would consider using any information here as the basis for making a real wager on the Super Bowl game. Anyone that stupid would also likely think that the best way to have a square meal at breakfast time is to make waffles.
General Comments:
The people who show up at “Media Day” for the Super Bowl must spend several weeks trying to come up with the dumbest questions possible just so they – - as the askers – - can get a measure of reflected fame from the player to whom they put the question. Otherwise, why would anyone think it worth asking Vince Wilfork what he likes to grill? Take a look at the man; what is it that might be cooked on a grill that he would not like? Filet of wombat?
How many variations can there be to a question put to Rob Gronkowski that asks him if his ankle will have him ready to play on Sunday? I loved his answer to all of them; he is taking it “day to day”.
Memo to Rob Gronkowski: Aren’t we all – - taking things “day to day”…
Notwithstanding anything that came up earlier this week, the dumbest Super Bowl Media Day question I can recall came from someone not in the sports media who asked Emmitt Smith what he planned to wear in the upcoming game. As if there might be options…
Sunday’s game will be on NBC. Consider that a gift to you from the football gods because it means you get to hear Al Michaels and Cris Colinsworth do the game. That means Jon Gruden will not be doing the game. And that, folks, is a blessing.
Dan Daly of the Washington Times tweeted a couple of different ideas for things to look for as the Super Bowl approaches:
“You know what would be a great Super Bowl Week story? If Gisele dumped Tom Brady for The Most Interesting Man in the World. #Pats #NFL”
“My favorite Super Bowl subplot this year might be the Battle of the Hyphens: Jason Pierre-Paul vs. BenJarvus Green-Ellis. #Pats #Giants #NFL”
All the talk this week about legacies for coaches and for QBs and how that might affect their chances to get into the Hall of Fame seems to have missed a point. Tom Brady has three Super Bowl wins; that puts him on the same level as Troy Aikman and puts him one behind Joe Montana and Terry Bradshaw. The last time I checked, Aikman, Bradshaw and Montana are all in the Hall of Fame; Brady will join them there once he is retired for the prescribed period of time.
By the way, there are only two QBs who have won the Super Bowl twice who are not in the Hall of Fame. One is Ben Roethlisberger; he is still playing and so is not eligible. However, the other two-time winner not in the Hall is Jim Plunkett. If Bob Greise, Bart Starr and Roger Staubach are in, why is Plunkett not in?
Interestingly, the two teams feature diminutive WRs who were ignored in the draft the year they came out of college. The Giants’ Victor Cruz went undrafted out of UMass. The Pats’ Wes Welker went undrafted out of Texas Tech and Julian Edleman lasted until the 7th round in 2009.
Back in September, Greg Cote had this comment in the Miami Herald regarding the sale of Super Bowl advertising slots:
“Ads for this season’s Super Bowl have almost sold out already. I like my chances in the office pool. I have that one of the commercials will feature a talking animal in a hat dancing with Betty White.”
Fans in Indy have gotten into Super Bowl week up to their armpits. Seven thousand folks bought tickets at $25 a pop to sit in the stands and watch Media Day. Not only that, but there was an “aftermarket” for tickets at several times the face price. Note, these tickets did not confer media credentials on the buyers; these tickets allowed the buyer to sit in the stands and watch a bunch of players go through the silly interview processes.
It might be a very bad thing for the Washington Redskins if the Giants win on Sunday. The Redskins swept the Giants this year. That fact could lead to thinking along the lines of:
Well, we beat the Super Bowl champs twice so we cannot be that far away from glory ourselves. We are just one free agent signing away from playing in Super Bowl XLVII…
It is a fact that the Redskins beat the Giants twice this year. It is also a fact that the Redskins only won 5 games all season long. The Redskins are not “one player away from glory…”
A story broke this week that a Detroit Lions fan called in a bomb scare to the Superdome right after the Saints took a 21-14 lead over the Lions in the wild card game three weeks ago. Later in the game, after the Lions had scored and tried an onside kick to score again – - but failed to recover the onside kick – - the same Lions’ fan made a second call to the Superdome threatening “severe consequences” if the Saints won that game. Yes, they were able to find out who made the calls and he is going to have some ‘splainin to do to a judge regarding things like terroristic threats and that kind of stuff. Even better, the Lions’ fan name is:
Shawn Payton.
No, seriously…
Dan Daly dug up these stats in the Washington Times.
“Bill Belichick’s record in New England before Camera-gate: 87-39 (.690 winning percentage, best in the NFL from 2000-06).
Belichick’s record since: 67-19 (.779 winning percentage, best in the league from 2007 through ‘11).”
Cue Arte Johnson: “Verrrrry eenteresting…”
The Game:
Giants vs. New England – 3 (55): The opening spread for this game was 3.5 points but it seems to have settled at 3 points at most sportsbooks – - although you can find it at 2.5 points at a couple Internet sportsbooks. The total line opened at 56 and moved down to 55. At many sportsbooks, if you want to play Under 55, your odds are worse than the normal -110 indicating there is a uncovered “Under” money on the books at the moment.
The Giants opened at +145 on the money line. Now, the highest line I can find on the money line is +126 and most are between +115 and +120.
Frankly, I am not sure why this game is not “pick ‘em”. The Giants’ defense showed that it could hold its own against an explosive offense with its win over the Packers. I suspect those guys will not forget how to play pass defense just because they are in Indiana instead of in Wisconsin for this game. The Giants have gotten their share of breaks and fortunate bounces in these playoff games, but those good fortunes should lead anyone to believe that the Giants’ defense is a bad one; it is not.
The Patriots have won 10 games in a row – - the last team to beat them was the Giants a few months ago. In that 10-game win streak, the Pats’ defense has steadily improved and the Pats’ offense has been either “excellent” or “satisfactory” in every outing. Call me a Pollyanna if you want, but I see this as an even game. I’ll take the Giants plus the points here and I like the game to go Over.
But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………