Last week, Mythical Picks made three selections. The record was 2-1 for a weekly Mythical Profit of $90. Let me recap the Mythical Picking Season up to now as we head toward the Super Bowl – - the Grand Crescendo:
Reg Seas: 146-128-4 + $ 850
Playoffs: 8-4 + $ 420
Total NFL:154-132-4 +$1270
Allow me to reiterate that I will not “go crazy” this weekend and make a bunch of silly bets [such as the over/under for how long it will take to sing the National Anthem] just because I’m ahead. See last week’s Mythical Picks for the explanation as to why I’m not doing that. I will make three wagers this week for a total of $300 Mythical Dollars. That means that the worst I can do for the year is to come out ahead by $970 Mythical Dollars.
My long-suffering wife and I are leaving town tomorrow and taking an overnight train to Chicago to visit #1 son and his lovely bride. We’ll watch the Super Bowl game with them and some of their friends in Chicago. If the Bears win, I don’t think there will be a lack of exuberance – rational or irrational – in the room. That explains why these picks are a bit earlier in the week than normal.
And of course, no one should take anything written here and use it as the basis for making a wager on the Super Bowl. If you did that you would be so dumb that if a woman offered you “super sex”, you’d think for a few moments and then take the soup.
General Comments:
To hear some of the analysts talk about this game, the single factor to decide the outcome will be whether or not the Bears’ defense can stop the Colts’ offense. The Bears’ offense and the Colts’ defense must feel like Rodney Dangerfield about now. But the points scored by each team is the same. Granted, the Bears have more scores from their defense/special teams, but they all count the same on the scoreboard. There aren’t any style points awarded for how teams score.
Looking at the regular season stats, would it surprise you to know that the Colts gained more yards per rushing attempt than did the Bears? I was surprised. On the assumption that neither team will turn the ball over a half dozen times this weekend, I think this game should stay close. The game could come down to a battle of the kickers and both teams have good ones – based on this year’s performances. You may recall when Cris Carter was playing, Chris Berman and Tom Jackson on ESPN always used to say that all Carter did was catch TD passes. Well, along those lines, all Adam Vinatieri does is kick winning field goals in playoff and Super Bowl games.
Indy – 7 “at” Chicago (49): Obviously, you should shop the line here because it varies from place to place and small differences can be important. I want to make three wagers on this game. I want the Bears with the points; I think the game will stay close. I want the game UNDER; I believe that there will be more field goals than TDs. And I want a $100 money-line bet on the Bears to win the game outright at +240. Frankly, I think that price is a bit lower than it would be for a game with a TD spread in the regular season, but I still think it is worth a shot.
Good luck.
But don’t get me wrong, I love sports…