The big news over the weekend was LeBron James choosing to sign with the Sixers. In the last 48 hours I have read analyses of that choice that run along three lines:
- What led LeBron James to this decision?
- Are the Sixers the favorites to win the NBA Championship next season?
- Here’s why the euphoria surrounding this signing is a bubble that will burst quickly.
Let me address those topics. In the first case, I have no idea why LeBron James chose to sign with the Sixers and there are probably fewer than a half-dozen people on the planet who do. When you read or hear someone making such pronouncements, check their mind-reading credentials carefully. Here is what I think is undoubtedly true:
- It’s not about the money he will make in Philly.
- His deal is reported to be for 2 years and a total of $8M.
- That sounds like a lot of money to us normal folks, but according to Spotrac.com James’ basketball earnings to date total up to $581M.
- It’s not about the money.
Enough of that…
The Sixers had four solid starters prior to this decision – – assuming that Joel Embiid can remain relatively healthy. That is not a trivial condition to put on the Sixers’ fortunes for next season; Embiid has missed two full seasons due to injury/rehab and has not played in 40 games in a regular season in any of the last 3 seasons. When healthy and available, he has been the league MVP in the past; but that was only in one season out of ten.
Adding LeBron James to that “core-four” – – even allowing for the fact that James is in his 40s already – – means that the Sixers will be successful far more often than not when everyone suits up for a game. The net roster change for the Sixers over this offseason is stunning. They subtracted Paul George and added Jaylen Brown, LeBron James and first-round pick LaBaron Phillion. Meaning no disrespect at all for Paul George, that is an amazing roster upgrade over a period of a few weeks.
Having said all that, I am not ready to crown the Sixers as champs just yet. The moves look great on paper, but the games are played on hardwood floors and not on paper. The NBA East has had a reawakening; there will be a lot of tightly contested games in the East this year:
- The Knicks are the reigning champs.
- The Celtics still have Jayson Tatum to lead them.
- The Heat added Giannis over the summer.
- The Raptors will finally get Kawai Leonard once the league finishes investigating the “legality” of Leonard’s contract with the Clippers.
- The Pacers, Pistons and Hawks are all solid teams.
- Given all that, I am hardly certain that the Sixers can make it to the NBA Finals where either the Thunder of the Spurs should be waiting …
As to the third type of analysis – – this is a euphoric bubble that will crash and burn long before the playoffs – – there is one element in that argument that I think is cogent. It is a fact that there is only one basketball in use in any given game. Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey, Jaylen Brown and LeBron James are all at their best when they control the ball; this lineup will demand sharing the ball and it remains to be seen how that will be accommodated by this lineup. The good news there is that James, Embiid and Brown are all 30+ years old and have a measure of maturity among them; “sharing” and “maturity” often go hand-in-hand.
And then, there is news this morning that the Memphis Grizzlies bought out the contract of Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and that he is also signing with the Sixers for a veteran minimum contact of $4M per year. Caldwell-Pope’s calling card these days is defense which – – again on paper – – would seem to fit nicely with the putative starting five for the Sixers.
Finally, I’ll close today with a snarky comment that a friend sent to me in an email yesterday:
“Fifteen years ago, LeBron ‘took his talents’ to Miami.
This year, LeBron takes his receding hairline to Philly.”
But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………